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Showing posts with label Stock market. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Stock market. Show all posts

Saturday, May 8, 2010

Automatic' Crash Was Predicted!

Publisher's Corner with Christopher Ruddy


'Automatic' Crash Was Predicted!

By Christopher Ruddy

The largest one-day stock market fall in all of U.S. history took place Thursday, but it did not come as a surprise to readers of Financial Intelligence Report (FIR).

FIR has been warning for months that an "automatic" correction was in the works due to two factors: 1) the high number of stop orders placed on auto-trade with brokers and 2) the automatic expiration of the Bush tax cuts at the end of this year.

Back in October 2009, our monthly advisory — published by Newsmax — warned that many investors were nervous about their equity investments and had been placing automatic stop orders on their holdings.

My analysis for Financial Intelligence Report that month was headlined: "An 'Automatic' Stock Market Crash in the Cards?"

We shared with our readers information we had learned from one of the top private banks in the country. In past years, we were told, investors generally did not place such standing orders, believing as they did in the great American bull market.

But such optimism ended with the market crash of 2008 and 2009.

Wary investors have slowly been coming back into equities, but ever so carefully — and many times with those conservative stops in place to lock in their gains "just in case."

On Thursday, when the stock market began to tumble and fell more than 200 points, stops obviously began to kick in. Selling pressure became enormous.

Media reports now say an "error" worsened the problem, with a trader accidentally placing a broad-market sell order in the billions instead of millions. So far, the exchanges say no evidence of this has been found.

This further pressed the market down and even more stop orders kicked in.

But the shaky nature of the overall stock market is not caused by stops. They are just one problem the market faces.

Editor's Note: Get a free copy of the book 'Aftershock' with a free trial subscription to Financial Intelligence Report — http://w3.newsmax.com/a/aftershock2/meltdown.cfm?s=al&promo_code=9DCD-1">Go Here Now.

The bigger problems are the state of the economy and President Barack Obama's policies.

Once again, the press is blaming the stock market tumble on Greece and avoiding the "O" word.

How do they know Greece caused the tumble?

They don't. I think the economy here in the United States and Obama's policies are having a far greater effect on investors.

At Financial Intelligence Report, we have been warning of a major market correction all this year. We predicted that, one day, investors would wake up and realize that the Bush tax cuts are expiring en masse at the end of this year.

This means that without lifting a finger Obama will get a massive, almost across-the-board tax increase.

Those in the highest brackets — people who Obama sees as "rich" and who I see as critical for economic recovery — will see an automatic tax increase of about 10 percent.

It has been a long-held view that the stock market is a leading indicator of the economy by about six months.

In just over a half of a year, then, we foresee that the consumer economy will take a huge hit as the cash flow of high-income producers diminishes.

As the Bush income tax cuts expire, so do dividend and capital-gains cuts. Many investors will also realize it's better to sell this year and pay less tax — another factor that will put downward pressure on the markets.

Obama thinks he will take from the rich to give to the poor by letting tax cuts expire, but he will most hurt the poor.

What Obama forgets is that those who make high incomes are not necessarily rich, at least as far as their balance sheets go.

Warren Buffett takes a very small income but is very rich, the richest man in America. Interestingly, his income will be little affected by the end of the Bush tax breaks.

I suggest the president and others read Dr. Thomas Stanley's new book, "Stop Acting Rich."

As Stanley explains, those who have high incomes, such as doctors and lawyers, are typically not wealthy.

Instead, he finds, they are hyper-consumers. They like to spend what they earn. Cars, watches, travel, restaurants, fashionable clothes, boats, you name it.

There is no question that such spenders drive the whole U.S. economy. Think of the thousands of workers who find employment due to such hyper-spending.

Financial Intelligence Report has warned that if the Bush tax cuts expire, it will reduce cash available to such spenders, who will further tighten spending.

Investors should begin tightening their seat belt as we careen toward a double-dip recession.

Important: I strongly encourage you get a free trial subscription to Financial Intelligence Report. You can get this also with a free copy of the bestselling new book "Aftershock." The authors of this book predicted the last market crash and have been warning two major bubbles will burst soon. Dick Morris says every investor must get 'Aftershock.' Check out our free offer — http://w3.newsmax.com/a/aftershock2/meltdown.cfm?s=al&promo_code=9DCD-1">Go Here Now.

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Friday, May 7, 2010

8 Theories For Why The Stock Market Plunged Almost 1000 Points In A Matter Of Minutes On May 6th

After many news articles and post sent to me the past year or so. I've come up with my own theory for all this. But, I will leave it at that.
Some of you know the real reasons behind all this.
In one of the most dizzying half-hours in stock market history, the Dow plunged nearly 1,000 points on Thursday, May 6th before bouncing back to close down 347.80 points.  This represented the biggest intraday decline since 1987.  But what made this crash so absolutely shocking is that it happened in the course of less than an hour. 
Between 2 p.m. and 3 p.m. the Dow lost over 700 points before dramatically bouncing back about 600 points.

So what did happen?

The following are some of the most common theories being put forward to explain what happened....

#1) A Bad Trade

#2) A Computer Glitch

#3) Cascading Stop Losses
#4) Hackers
#5) Cyberterrorism
#6) Fear Of The European Debt Crisis Spreading
#7) Stop Hunting
#8) A Real Panic

When fear grips a market things can go south very, very quickly.  The truth is that markets tend to fall more quickly than they rise, and if a wave of panic starts sweeping over the financial markets we could see things get quite messy in the coming days.

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Tuesday, February 9, 2010

World's Central Banks Meet in Secret in Australia - Feb 09, 2010


Central banks meeting in secret it Australia... it sounds like The Creature From Jekyll Island all over again. Greece, Portugal and Spain et al on the brink. A stock market [the Dow] that wants to die. It appears that the central banks are watching their control of world financial and monetary events slip away... and are in a full panic mode.

Then, and only then, will we find out which countries and their respective central banks have gold reserves of any kind... and how much they really have left.

In the interim, things are going to get incredibly ugly. And, without doubt, the world's central banks will resort to anything to prevent 'all of the above' from happening. But it's way too late for that now. And, as Ambrose Evans-Pritchard said in his story from The Telegraph above... the crisis in Greece is now escalating into a "global margin call as confidence ebbs."
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